# Bayesian Epistemology 2016

All readings except Bradley (2015) can be downloaded by clicking on their publishing year. Course description can be downloaded by clicking *here. *You'll find* *information about your final essay *here.*

### Class 1: Degrees of belief.

- Bradley (2015), ch.1; Strevens (2012), ch. 2.
- Ramsey, (1926), only section 3 (i.e., the part titled “Degrees of belief”), and don’t worry about the mathematical details.

### Class 2: Belief and acceptance.

- Bradley (2015), ch. 2;
- Foley (2009).

Extra readings for class 1 and 2: Jeffrey (1968), Maher (1992); Eriksson and Hájek (2007), Buchak (2014).

### Class 3: Norms of Probabilism.

Bradley (2015), ch. 3; Strevens (2012), ch. 3.

### Class 4: The Dutch Book argument for Probabilism.

- Hajek (2008a), sections 1-4 (pp. 1-23).

Extra readings for classes 3 and 4: Lewis (1980); Bradley (2015), ch. 9; Stefansson (forthcoming); Easwaran (2011a); Eriksson and Hájek (2007); Hájek (2008a); Hajek (2008b); Steele and Stefansson (2015), section 3.

Extra readings on "sharp" subjective probabilities: Elga (2010); Bradley and Steele (2014); Bradley (2014).

### Class 5: Bayesian conditionalization.

Bradley (2015) ch. 4 & 10.1; Strevens (2012), ch. 4.

### Class 6: Challenge for conditionalization: Sleeping Beauty.

Extra readings for classes 5 and 6: Hájek (2008a), section 5; Hajek (2003); Easwaran (2011a); Briggs (2009); Mahtani (2015); Arntzenius (2003).

### Class 7: Bayesian machinery (Confirmation Theory).

- Strevens (2012), ch. 5-6.2.

### Class 8: Problem of induction and the paradox of the ravens.

- Strevens (2012), ch. 7-8.1; Bradley (2015), chs. 6 & 8.

Extra readings for classes 7 and 8: Howson and Urbach (1993), chs. 1 and 4a-4d; Easwaran (2011b); Bradley (2015), ch. 7.

### Class 9: Subjectivity and constraining the priors

- Strevens (2012), ch. 9,

Extra readings for class 9: Earman (1992), ch. 6; Easwaran (2011b).