Decision Theory 2015

Even Mark Renton couldn't avoid making a decision---to choose "something else".

Even Mark Renton couldn't avoid making a decision---to choose "something else".

All readings except Peterson (2009) can be downloaded by clicking on their publishing year. Course description can be downloaded by clicking here. (Note that for some weeks, I will add extra readings below, in addition to those listed in the Course description.) Here is information about the final essay.

Week 1: Introduction

Reading:

Extra Readings:

  • Peterson (2009), section 2.4; 
  • Briggs (2014), sections 1 and 2;
  • Lara Buchak (forthcoming).

Lecture notes for wk 1.

 

Week 2: Utilities

Readings:

  • Stefánsson & Steele (20015), sections 2-2.2; 
  • Peterson (2009), ch 5-5.2 (pp. 91-106);
  • Broome (1991b)

Extra Readings:

  • Peterson (2009), sections 5.3-5.4;
  • Broome (1999a);
  • Briggs (2014), section 3.1.

Lecture notes for wk. 2.

 

Week 3: von Neumann and Morgenstern's theory

Readings:

  • Peterson (2009), ch. 4-4.3 (pp. 64-78) and ch. 8-8.4 (pp. 164-169);
  • Stefánsson & Steele (20015), section 2.3.

Extra Readings:

  • Gustafsson (2013);
  • Broome (1991a), ch. 5; 
  • Schick (1986), section II.

Lecture notes for wk. 3.

 

Week 4: vNM and risk

Readings:

  • Peterson (2009), sections 4.4 and 8.5;
  • Hansson (1988), sections 1-6 (no need to worry about all the technical details).

Extra Readings:

"Extra Extra" Readings:

Lecture notes for wk. 4.

 

Week 5: Subjective and objective probabilities

Readings:

  • Peterson (2009), chapters 6 & 7, up until p. 146;
  • Lewis (1980).

Extra Readings:

Lecture notes for wk. 5.

 

Week 6: Choice under uncertainty (Savage)

Readings:

  • Stefánsson & Steele (20015), section 3.1;
  • Peterson (2009), pp. 147-153.

Extra Readings:

  • Meacham & Weisberg (2011);
  • Stefánsson & Steele (20015), section 3.2;
  • Eriksson & Hájek (2007).

Lecture notes for wk. 6.

 

Week 7: Ambiguity and imprecise probabilities

Readings:

  • Ellsberg (1961);
  • Peterson (2009), section 4.5 (pp. 81-83.)

Extra Readings:

Lecture notes for wk. 7.

 

Week 8: Dutch Book arguments

Readings:

  • Hájek (2008);
  • Peterson (2009), sections 7.5.2 and 7.5.3 (pp. 153-159).

Extra Readings:

Lecture notes for wk. 8.