Published and Forthcoming Journal Articles

"On the Limits of the Precautionary Principle"

Risk Analysis, forthcoming.
Published with comments by Terje Aven and Thomas Boyer-Kassem, as well as my reply.

"Is Risk Aversion Irrational?"

Synthese, forthcoming.

"Gambling with Death"

Topoi (special issue: New Trends in Rational Choice Theory), forthcoming. 

"What is Risk Aversion?"

(with Richard Bradley), British Journal for the Philosophy of Science,  70(1): 77-102, 2019.

"Counterfactual Skepticism and Multidimensional Semantics"

Erkenntnis, 83(5): 875-898, 2018.  

"On the Ratio Challenge for Comparativism"

Australasian Journal of Philosophy, 96(2): 380-390, 2018.

"Counterfactual Desirability"

(with Richard Bradley), British Journal for the Philosophy of Science, 68(2): 485-533, 2017.
Included in Oxford University Press’ “Best of Philosophy 2017”.

"What is 'Real' in Probabilism?"

Australasian Journal of Philosophy, 95(3): 573-587, 2017.

"Desirability of Conditionals"

Synthese, 193(6): 1967-1981, 2016.

"Desire, Expectation and Invariance"

(with Richard Bradley), Mind, 125(499): 691-725, 2016.

"Fair Chance and Modal Consequentialism"

Economics and Philosophy, 31(3): 371-395, 2015, 

"How Valuable are Chances?"

(with Richard Bradley), Philosophy of Science, 82(4): 602-625, 2015.

"A Lewisian Trilemma"

Ratio, 27(3): 262-275, 2014.

"Desires, Beliefs and Conditional Desirability"

Synthese, 191(16): 4019-4035, 2014.

"Humean Supervenience and Multidimensional Semantics"

Erkenntnis, 79(6): 1391-1406, 2014.


Beyond Uncertainty: Reasoning with Unknown Possibilities

(with Katie Steele), under contract with Cambridge University Press

Book Chapters, Reviews, etc.

"Epistemic Transformation and Rational Choice"

(with Krister Bykvist), Economics and Philosophy, 33(1): 125-138, 2017.

Review essay about Arif Ahmed's Evidence, Decision and Causality

Philosophy of Science, 83(1): 159-169, 2016. 

"Decision Theory"

(with Katie Steele), in Edward N. Zalta (ed.), Stanford Encyclopedia of Philosophy, winter 2015 edition.

Review of Lara Buchak's Risk and Rationality

Economics and Philosophy, 30(2): 252-260, 2014.

"Free Discourse and Fair Procedures"

In Gabriel Malenfant (ed.) Heimspeki - For the Wisdom of the world: Inquiring into Contemporary Icelandic Philosophy, University of Iceland Press.

Work in Progress or Under Review

(Please e-mail me, at hlynur.orri[at], for drafts.)

Population Ethics Under Risk (with Gustaf Arrhenius)

Calibration Dilemmas in the Ethics of Distribution (with Jake Nebel)

Risk and Ambiguity behind the Veil of Ignorance

Belief Revision for Growing Awareness (with Katie Steele) 

Reasoning with Unknown Possibilities (with Katie Steele) 

Radical Interpretation and Decision Theory (with Anandi Hattiangadi)

Responding to Catastrophic Risk

Is Utilitarianism Catastrophe Insensitive?

Is Risk Equity Inconsistent with Catastrophe Aversion?